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Seven good years, and seven of famine!

Posted by Ian Brown on July 9, 2008 9:45 PM | 

I was an Ishmalite trader in Joseph at school, needless to say my daughter a generation later was the narrator, which is a more complex role - good genetic progress.

I am reminded this week of the pharaohs dream of seven good years of decadence and then a credit crunch which ran and ran with the threat of a recession just around the pyramidal corner. As farmers we know all about cycles and you just have to live on the averages.

I tell you why else I'm thinking deeply this week. Business is taught as we plan two massive expansions and a movement of assets to make it happen - at the same time as I have returned from a school leaving anniversary event marking 25 years.

So to serious commentary from a rural perspective.....the national economy has a habit of not being directly linked to the farming economy but perhaps with food and fuel at the centre of the political limelight it may be more entwined on this occassion.

Currency, weather, commodity prices, political favour, disease and pestulance. All are cyclical and not overly predictable. Greed and fear again I'm afraid for most of the population it drives us from pillar to post. The current credit crunch has shone a light on some crazy activities which now - the power of 20:20 hindsight you see - are seen as mad.....the emperor is naked again!

I have become increasingly frustrated with the herd instinct and as a business entrepreneur am determined to keep surprising people. As was said in the presenation of class awards of my eldest daughter this week success is where ambition meets persistence. So does it matter if it is a recession?.....I think the answer is yes but! Clearly it is sectorial and if you are standing where the tornado lands it is going to get ugly. But picking yourself up has to be the aim.

Having provided 100 tonnes of willow chip to Sembcorp's power station should offset my modern lifestyle for a little while?

Well the rain falls again......tears of the gods or soft refreshing rain...only you can tell.

Ian

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